Our estimate is a Democratic gain of 7-9 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
Likely Takeover (4 R, 0 D)
- Sununu (R-NH)
- CO Open (Allard, R)
- NM Open (Domenici, R)
- VA Open (Warner, R)
Lean Takeover (3 R, 0 D)
Toss-Up (1 R, 0 D)
- Dole (R-NC)
- Smith (R-OR)
- Stevens (R-AK)
- Coleman (R-MN)
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 1 D)
- Chambliss (R-GA)
- Landrieu (D-LA)
- McConnell (R-KY)
- Wicker (R-MS)
Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 0 D)
Currently Safe (11 R, 11 D)
- Collins (R-ME)
- ID Open (Craig, R)
- NE Open (Hagel, R)
- Alexander (R-TN)
- Barrasso (R-WY)
- Cochran (R-MS)
- Cornyn (R-TX)
- Enzi (R-WY)
- Graham (R-SC)
- Inhofe (R-OK)
- Roberts (R-KS)
- Sessions (R-AL)
- Baucus (D-MT)
- Biden (D-DE)
- Durbin (D-IL)
- Harkin (D-IA)
- Johnson (D-SD)
- Kerry (D-MA)
- Lautenberg (D-NJ)
- Levin (D-MI)
- Pryor (D-AR)
- Reed (D-RI)
- Rockefeller (D-WV)
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